OK, so I've done some pretty cursory analysis trying to figure out why closers get paid so much. They only pitch one inning a game, some barely reaching 70 innings pitched in any given year. Let's take former Astros' closer, current Tiger closer Jose Valverde. Jose is a good pitcher, without a doubt. Last year, he went 4-2 with a 2.33 ERA, gave up 5 HR, walked 22, and struck out 56. His (Walk + Hits) / IP was a respectable 1.13, and his ERA+ was 180 (which is very good).
So, Joe, why is there a problem here? For some reason, it bugs me that Jose put up those numbers and made $8,000,000 in 2009 (while I probably made $10,000 in 6 months working for a baseball team), WHILE ONLY APPEARING IN 52 GAMES, PITCHING 54 INNINGS, AND THROWING 887 PITCHES. If you're trying to calculate, that's $153,846 per appearance, $148,148 per inning, and $9,019 per pitch. Maybe his dollar per inning would be a little less if the Astros had been in a higher number of closer games. He spent 4 days on the DL in April, all 31 days of May, and 13 days in June for a total of 48 days and a rough estimate of 40 games for the entire 2010 season.
The average salary for current expected MLB closers is a little over $5,000,000, but when you factor in the 26.7% of closers who were supposed to start this season as a closer but are currently on the DL, that number jumps to almost $6,000,000. If you were curious, Mariano Rivera is obviously the highest paid closer (and rightfully so) at $15,000,000 for 2010. The Reds are paying Francisco Cordero $12,000,000 to pitch this year, and he accumulated 66.2 IP last year. Those numbers just seem insane for someone who might contribute 5 innings a week. You have Joe Mauer, on the other hand, who signed an extension with the Twins for somewhere around $24.5 million to play every day. Assuming he plays 130 games and each inning in every game, he will make approximately $188,462 per game and $20,940 per inning. Let's compare that last number to the $148,148 Jose made per inning last year. Does something seem off to you? It does to me, too.
Maybe closers have some innate character trait that enables them to drown out the crowd like Kevin Costner in "For the Love of the Game." But they are still a situational pitcher. They go in, on the majority of occasions, ONLY when their team has a small lead going into the ninth inning. The 26.7% of relief pitchers that are STARTING their season on the DL is further evidence of an unbelievable market price for such a replaceable position. I think it's virtually guaranteed that every closer will end up hitting the DL at some point during the season. Why would you pay someone that much for such little output and expected injury time?
Maybe this problem is beyond me. If I had it my way, I would keep rotating my best minor league closers into the MLB role at the $400,000 league minimum for two or three years, then use them as trade bait in July if it didn't seem we would be in contention. I think you could take some franchises teetering on a playoff birth to the cleaners for a young, proven closer and pick up some nice pieces along the way for your own playoff run. Plus you can spend that extra $5,500,000 on a certifiable stud you might not have thought you could afford, or spread it over various tiers of relief pitchers to strengthen the bullpen.
Anyway, enough with this rant. I need more statistics to back my theory up, and rest assured I will be hitting www.baseball-reference.com and FanGraphs.com for some Sabermetric stats to enhance its validity. Baseball fans, I would appreciate any commentary.
For now, MLB GMs, consider yourself criticized.
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
Monday, March 22, 2010
J.R. Towles - Officially Criticized
I'm going to start posting a baseball thought/picture/news story daily, and I'd love to start it off with a picture of the Astros' presumptive 2010 starting catcher taking a baseball straight to the face.
Sorry, J.R. You've just been criticized.
Image taken from: http://www.holytaco.com/balls-hitting-people-face.
Sorry, J.R. You've just been criticized.
Image taken from: http://www.holytaco.com/balls-hitting-people-face.
Some Changes
So I am only a couple of weeks away from starting this crazy process of short Southwest flights, taxis, dumpy hotel rooms, and stadium food. I've made some changes to the itinerary for my West Coast leg, scheduled to begin when I fly out of Houston on April 13th for San Francisco. Here's the updated schedule (home team in CAPS):
April 14th, 12:45 PM: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 15th, 7:05 PM: OAKLAND ATHLETICS vs. Baltimore Orioles
April 16th, 7:10 PM: SEATTLE MARINERS vs. Detroit Tigers
April 18th, 1:05 PM: SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
April 19th, 6:40 PM: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS vs. St. Louis Cardinals
April 23rd, 7:10 PM: COLORADO ROCKIES vs. Florida Marlins
I wish I could watch a game in Denver right after the game in Phoenix, but MLB has sucker-punched me with the scheduling here, so I will be flying out of Phoenix on the night of the 20th to Denver, where I will be staying with my good friend David Cummings. I know Phoenix is a great city (one of the fastest growing urban areas in the United States), but spending 3 or 4 days in outdoorsy Denver is too hard to pass up. Plus, I know I'll be staying there for free.
You might be wondering: "Joe, you're an idiot. There are two teams that supposedly cohabit Los Angeles together, but you've obviously forgotten about them here. Jackie Robinson's Brooklyn Dodgers who fled the Northeast for cozy SoCal? Joe Torre? Manny being Manny and Torii Hunter? A team that isn't actually in Los Angeles but loves to put the city name in front of its official team name anyways? Hollywood, Santa Monica, Rodeo Drive, In 'N Out Burger, Heidi Montag, HOW COULD YOU FORGET ABOUT LA???!!! HOW COULD YOU DO IT, JOE?!!!???"
For all you doubters of my organizational and scheduling capabilities, Los Angeles will merit its own special trip at the end of June when I can visit my best friend, David Atlas, who will be leaving Jay-Z and the bright lights of New York City for the beaches of Santa Monica. I have a feeling I won't be the first or last friend to visit him. We're going to enjoy animal-style burgers, the sun, and the talent, all while cruising down the Pacific Highway in David's new Smart Car.
*An aside: David will punch me if I do not disclose the fact that he will refuse to buy or lease a Smart Car.
April 14th, 12:45 PM: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 15th, 7:05 PM: OAKLAND ATHLETICS vs. Baltimore Orioles
April 16th, 7:10 PM: SEATTLE MARINERS vs. Detroit Tigers
April 18th, 1:05 PM: SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
April 19th, 6:40 PM: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS vs. St. Louis Cardinals
April 23rd, 7:10 PM: COLORADO ROCKIES vs. Florida Marlins
I wish I could watch a game in Denver right after the game in Phoenix, but MLB has sucker-punched me with the scheduling here, so I will be flying out of Phoenix on the night of the 20th to Denver, where I will be staying with my good friend David Cummings. I know Phoenix is a great city (one of the fastest growing urban areas in the United States), but spending 3 or 4 days in outdoorsy Denver is too hard to pass up. Plus, I know I'll be staying there for free.
You might be wondering: "Joe, you're an idiot. There are two teams that supposedly cohabit Los Angeles together, but you've obviously forgotten about them here. Jackie Robinson's Brooklyn Dodgers who fled the Northeast for cozy SoCal? Joe Torre? Manny being Manny and Torii Hunter? A team that isn't actually in Los Angeles but loves to put the city name in front of its official team name anyways? Hollywood, Santa Monica, Rodeo Drive, In 'N Out Burger, Heidi Montag, HOW COULD YOU FORGET ABOUT LA???!!! HOW COULD YOU DO IT, JOE?!!!???"
For all you doubters of my organizational and scheduling capabilities, Los Angeles will merit its own special trip at the end of June when I can visit my best friend, David Atlas, who will be leaving Jay-Z and the bright lights of New York City for the beaches of Santa Monica. I have a feeling I won't be the first or last friend to visit him. We're going to enjoy animal-style burgers, the sun, and the talent, all while cruising down the Pacific Highway in David's new Smart Car.
*An aside: David will punch me if I do not disclose the fact that he will refuse to buy or lease a Smart Car.
So I have some more rescheduling to do, but I will post the new itineraries for each leg in the near future. If anyone has a friend in Seattle, San Diego, or Phoenix that might be interested in putting me up for a night or two, tell him/her I will buy them dinner and a six-pack (or cheap bottle of vino).
I've given a shot out to David and David for their willingness to help already, but I also need to thank James Pritchett, who has graciously offered his place in Oakland for a day or two at the beginning of my journey. Looking forward to the Golden Gate Bridge and some pancakes, my man.
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Oh...
...the ultimate goal would be a "5 Good Minutes" appearance on PTI. Hey, Kornheiser, I'm making a trip to Toronto for ya.
Planning Nearly Finished...
So I have made the plans, for better or for worse. Here are the game dates:
Leg: 1
April 14th - San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 15th - Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles
April 16th - Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
April 18th - Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
April 19th - Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
April 20th - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
April 21st - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
April 23rd - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
Leg 2:
April 27th - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 28th - Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
April 29th - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
April 30th - Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
May 2nd - Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
May 3rd - Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
May 4th - Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
May 7th - Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
May 8th - Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Leg 3:
May 14th - Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
May 15th - Florida Marlins vs. New York Mets
May 16th - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Leg 4:
June 2nd - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
June 4th - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
June 5th - Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
June 6th - Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
June 8th - Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
June 10th - New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
June 11th - New York Yankees vs. HOUSTON ASTROS
June 12th - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Lone Star State dates to come soon...
This is already giving me a headache. Anyway, if you're interested, please forward this to anyone you know - friends and relatives to help with a handout, a couch, etc; Southwest Airlines Marketing employees who would like to sponsor my expenses; ESPN anchors for gratuitous publicy; et. al.
I haven't seen Up in the Air, but I've heard it's pretty depressing. I imagine the next few months could provide for a dearth of human contact, so if you feel like joining me on a leg of my journey, I would be happy to have the company!
Looking forward to starting the trip. Thanks for any and all help and support!
Leg: 1
April 14th - San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 15th - Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles
April 16th - Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
April 18th - Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
April 19th - Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
April 20th - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
April 21st - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
April 23rd - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
Leg 2:
April 27th - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
April 28th - Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
April 29th - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
April 30th - Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
May 2nd - Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
May 3rd - Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
May 4th - Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
May 7th - Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
May 8th - Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Leg 3:
May 14th - Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
May 15th - Florida Marlins vs. New York Mets
May 16th - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Leg 4:
June 2nd - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
June 4th - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
June 5th - Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
June 6th - Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
June 8th - Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
June 10th - New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
June 11th - New York Yankees vs. HOUSTON ASTROS
June 12th - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Lone Star State dates to come soon...
This is already giving me a headache. Anyway, if you're interested, please forward this to anyone you know - friends and relatives to help with a handout, a couch, etc; Southwest Airlines Marketing employees who would like to sponsor my expenses; ESPN anchors for gratuitous publicy; et. al.
I haven't seen Up in the Air, but I've heard it's pretty depressing. I imagine the next few months could provide for a dearth of human contact, so if you feel like joining me on a leg of my journey, I would be happy to have the company!
Looking forward to starting the trip. Thanks for any and all help and support!
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